🚀 Monday Market Pulse: Post-Jackson Hole Rally & What to Watch This Week (Aug 25, 2025)


Key Takeaway:
Markets are rallying on hopes of Fed rate cuts after Jackson Hole, with stocks, forex, commodities, and crypto all showing notable moves. Here’s your no-fluff, table-driven summary to stay ahead this week!


🌍 Global Market Snapshot

RegionAsset/ClassAsset/PairDaily ChangeWeekly ChangeKey Driver/Status
EuropeEquitySTOXX 600+0.2%+1.4%Energy & financials strength
EuropeEquityDAX (Germany)+0.1%FlatStable, little change
EuropeEquityFTSE 100 (UK)+0.3%+2.0%Record highs, UK inflation 3.8%
USEquityS&P 500+0.1%*+0.3%Fed cut signals, labor softening
USEquityDow Jones+0.2%*+1.5%Weekly surge, Fed dovish tone
USEquityNasdaq+0.3%*-0.6%Tech profit-taking
GlobalCurrencyUSD Index (DXY)Easing, Powell dovish
GlobalCurrencyEUR/USDAdvancing, Eurozone PMI strength
GlobalCurrencyGBP/USDFirm, UK inflation & PMI
GlobalCommodityGold (XAU/USD)+0.2%Safe-haven, lower yields
GlobalCommodityWTI Oil+0.1%+1.6%Tariff talks, inventory draws
GlobalCryptoBitcoin+1.0%ETF inflows, Fed cut hopes
GlobalCryptoEthereum+1.0%Risk-on sentiment

*Futures pre-market change


📊 Key Economic Indicators

IndicatorValueContext/Driver
Fed Rate Cut Odds (Sept)89%Post-Jackson Hole, Powell dovish
US Unemployment Rate4.2%Labor market softening
US Jobless Claims (latest)235,000Above expected, labor concern
UK Inflation (July)3.8%Accelerating
UK PMI (August)53.0Solid business activity
Eurozone PMI (August)51.1Expansion, 3rd month
Japan Core CPI (Y/Y)3.1%Above BoJ target, easing
Eurozone Consumer Confidence-15.5Weakened
US PMI (Forecast)50.5Key for forex, risk sentiment

📈 Visual Market Overview


🔥 What’s Moving the Markets?

  • Fed Rate Cut Hopes: Powell’s Jackson Hole speech boosted odds of a September cut to 89%, sparking global equity rallies and a weaker dollar.
  • Europe: Energy and financials lead gains; UK’s FTSE 100 at record highs on strong inflation and PMI.
  • US: S&P 500 and Dow up on Fed optimism; Nasdaq lags on tech profit-taking.
  • Forex: Dollar softens, euro and pound gain on central bank stability and strong PMIs.
  • Commodities: Gold rises as a safe haven; oil edges up on tariff/inventory news.
  • Crypto: Bitcoin and Ethereum rebound with risk-on sentiment and ETF inflows.

🏆 Key Market Levels

AssetLevelStatus/Driver
S&P 5006,466.91Fed cut optimism
Dow Jones45,631.74Weekly surge
Nasdaq21,496.54Tech profit-taking
STOXX 600559.07Energy/financials up
FTSE 1009,321.40Record highs
EUR/USD1.12Advancing
GBP/USD1.32Firm
Gold$2,510Safe-haven gains
WTI Oil$64.00Tariff/inventory impact
Bitcoin$64,000Risk-on recovery

Summary:
Markets are in rally mode post-Jackson Hole, with Fed rate cut hopes driving gains across equities, forex, commodities, and crypto. Watch for key economic data this week—especially US PMI and inflation—for the next big move!