Key Takeaway:
Global equities are consolidating near record highs as investors await pivotal U.S. inflation data and central bank signals. Sector rotation is in full swing, commodities are mixed, and crypto markets remain volatile. The dollar’s strength persists, and sentiment indicators point to cautious optimism with a hedged undertone.
📈 Executive Summary
- S&P 500 Futures: 6,857.25 (+0.18%)
- Dow Jones Futures: 47,710.00 (+0.21%)
- NASDAQ 100 Futures: 25,480.00 (+0.22%)
- FTSE 100: 9,911.42 (+0.12%)
- DAX: 24,381.46 (+1.22%)
- CAC 40: 8,241.24 (+1.04%)
- Nikkei 225: 51,281.83 (+0.43%)
- Gold: $4,226.00/oz (+0.76%)
- WTI Oil: $58.41/bbl (−0.14%)
- Bitcoin: $106,980.00 (−1.2%)
- VIX: 17.44 (−0.57%)
- EUR/USD: 1.1584 (−0.12%)
- USD/JPY: 154.78 (+0.10%)
🌍 Global Markets Data Table
| Index / Asset | Latest Price | Daily Change | Weekly Change | YTD Change / Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Futures | 6,857.25 | +0.18% | +1.8% | +16.1% |
| Dow Jones Futures | 47,710.00 | +0.21% | +2.1% | +11.7% |
| NASDAQ 100 Futures | 25,480.00 | +0.22% | +4.8% | +24.2% |
| FTSE 100 | 9,911.42 | +0.12% | +2.36% | +21.3% |
| DAX | 24,381.46 | +1.22% | +3.44% | +22.5% |
| CAC 40 | 8,241.24 | +1.04% | +3.66% | +11.7% |
| Nikkei 225 | 51,281.83 | +0.43% | +1.57% | +28.0% |
| Shanghai Composite | 4,000.14 | −0.07% | +0.06% | +19.3% |
| Hang Seng | 26,922.73 | +0.85% | +2.59% | +34.2% |
| Gold (USD/oz) | 4,226.00 | +0.76% | +2.1% | Near record highs |
| Silver (USD/oz) | 54.15 | +1.79% | +3.2% | Outperforming gold |
| WTI Oil (USD/bbl) | 58.41 | −0.14% | −0.8% | Under pressure |
| Brent Oil (USD/bbl) | 62.65 | −0.10% | −0.6% | Well-supplied market |
| Natural Gas (USD/MMBtu) | 3.11 | +0.16% (2w) | +16% (2w) | Winter demand surge |
| Corn (USD/bu) | 4.35 | −1.36% | flat | Ample supply |
| Soybeans (USD/bu) | 11.28 | +6.32% | +2.1% | Tight stocks, China demand |
| Wheat (EUR/ton) | 190.13 | −0.04% | flat | Ample supply |
| Bitcoin (USD) | 106,980.00 | −1.2% | −5.3% | −11.9% from ATH |
| Ethereum (USD) | 3,698.00 | −1.7% | −4.8% | −8.2% from recent highs |
| XRP (USD) | 2.45 | +8.5% | +12.6% | ETF speculation |
| Solana (USD) | 162.00 | +3.2% | +7.1% | ETF inflows, bullish |
| VIX | 17.44 | −0.57% | −9.19% | Elevated, not extreme |
📰 Market News & Key Drivers
- Federal Reserve: Markets await today’s U.S. CPI release, a key determinant for the Fed’s December rate decision. Odds of another cut have dropped to 70% as officials signal caution.
- Central Banks: ECB and BoE hold rates steady; BoJ remains ultra-loose, supporting Japanese equities and pressuring the yen.
- Earnings: S&P 500 Q3 earnings growth at 13.1% YoY, with 82% of companies beating estimates. European banks and luxury outperform.
- Geopolitics: Russia-Ukraine and Middle East tensions persist but have eased, stabilizing oil. U.S.–China trade friction resurfaces, impacting tech and industrials.
- Macro Data: U.S. labor market shows resilience but signs of softening. Eurozone PMI and retail sales are supportive; China’s Q3 GDP beats expectations.
💹 Commodities & Crypto
| Asset | Price | Daily Change | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold | $4,226.00/oz | +0.76% | Near record highs, safe haven demand |
| Silver | $54.15/oz | +1.79% | Industrial demand, supply tightness |
| WTI Oil | $58.41/bbl | −0.14% | Under pressure, high inventories |
| Brent Oil | $62.65/bbl | −0.10% | Well-supplied, risk premium faded |
| Natural Gas | $3.11/MMBtu | +0.16% (2w) | Winter demand, tight inventories |
| Corn | $4.35/bu | −1.36% | Ample supply, steady demand |
| Soybeans | $11.28/bu | +6.32% | Tight stocks, China demand |
| Wheat | €190.13/ton | −0.04% | Flat, ample supply |
| Bitcoin | $106,980.00 | −1.2% | Volatile, ETF flows, technical support |
| Ethereum | $3,698.00 | −1.7% | Outperforming BTC short-term |
| XRP | $2.45 | +8.5% | High volume, ETF speculation |
| Solana | $162.00 | +3.2% | ETF inflows, bullish |
💱 Currency Markets
| Pair | Rate | Daily Change | Trend/Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 1.1584 | −0.12% | Euro weak, ECB dovish |
| USD/JPY | 154.78 | +0.10% | Yen pressured, BoJ ultra-loose |
| GBP/USD | 1.2430 | −0.09% | Sterling soft, BoE cautious |
| USD/CHF | 0.9115 | +0.05% | Franc steady, safe haven flows |
| USD/CNY | 7.1141 | flat | Yuan stable, PBoC support |
| AUD/USD | 0.6540 | −0.04% | Aussie weak, China concerns |
| USD/CAD | 1.4002 | +0.03% | Loonie pressured, soft oil |
| USD/SGD | 1.3014 | +0.01% | SGD stable, resilient economy |
📊 Market Sentiment & Technicals
- VIX: 17.44 (−0.57%) — Elevated but not extreme; signals caution, not panic.
- CNN Fear & Greed Index: 34 (“Fear”) — Market is hedged, not panicked.
- Put/Call Ratio: 0.66 — Neutral to slightly bullish; no sign of capitulation or euphoria.
- AAII Sentiment: Bullishness high, polarization rising; risk of volatility spikes.
- NAAIM Exposure: 90.06 — Managers are nearly fully invested; contrarian risk if sentiment shifts.
- Breadth: 70% of Euro Stoxx 50 and S&P 500 stocks above 50-day MA; healthy but technically extended.
🏆 Sector Performance
| Leaders | Laggards |
|---|---|
| Financials | Consumer Discretionary |
| Industrials | Real Estate |
| Technology | Utilities |
| Healthcare | Energy |
- Financials and industrials are leading on both sides of the Atlantic, driven by robust earnings and sector rotation.
- Technology remains strong but is seeing some profit-taking.
- Healthcare is regaining momentum as a defensive play.
- Consumer discretionary, real estate, utilities, and energy are lagging due to macro headwinds and sector-specific challenges.
🔮 The Day Ahead: What to Watch
- U.S. CPI (Today): The inflation print will set the tone for Fed policy and risk appetite.
- Central Bank Speeches: Multiple Fed, ECB, and BoE officials to provide policy clues.
- Earnings: Final wave of Q3 reports, focus on forward guidance and sector rotation.
- Geopolitics: Ongoing monitoring of Russia-Ukraine, Middle East, and U.S.–China relations.
Ramon’s Wrap-up
As we move through mid-November, global markets are walking a tightrope between optimism and caution. Equities are near record highs, but technical and sentiment signals suggest investors are hedged and selective. Sector rotation is favoring financials and industrials, while technology consolidates and defensives regain some ground. Commodities are mixed, with gold and silver shining as safe havens and oil under pressure. Crypto remains volatile, with altcoins like XRP and Solana outperforming on ETF speculation.
The next 24–48 hours will be pivotal: U.S. inflation data and central bank commentary could quickly shift sentiment and volatility. Stay nimble, focus on quality, and be prepared for rapid changes in market mood—opportunity will favor those who adapt quickly and keep a long-term perspective.
Stay informed, stay diversified, and follow Ramon Morell for daily insights at www.ramonmorell.com!
All market data as of 08:19 UTC, November 13, 2025. This report is for iconstitute investment advice.
El Mundo del Trading en los Mercados Financieros 