🌙 Evening Market Summary – August 20, 2025

Key Takeaway:
Global markets closed mixed as investors digested fresh inflation data, Fed rate cut expectations, and ongoing geopolitical tensions. US indices ended mostly lower, with tech stocks underperforming, while commodities like gold and oil held firm. Forex markets saw moderate moves, and European equities diverged.


📰 Market Headlines & Economic Drivers

  • Fed Rate Cut Bets: Markets are increasingly pricing in a September rate cut after US PPI rose 3.3% YoY, the sharpest in five months, while CPI held steady at 2.7% .
  • Retail Sales & Sentiment: US retail sales grew 0.5% in July, but consumer sentiment slipped for the first time in four months .
  • Jackson Hole Anticipation: Investors await Fed Chair Powell’s speech for policy clues .
  • Geopolitics: Middle East tensions and new US-China tariff developments kept risk appetite in check .
  • Commodities: Gold and oil prices remained elevated on safe-haven demand and supply concerns .

📈 Market Overview

US Stock Indices

IndexCloseChange (%)Change (pts)
S&P 5006,372.00-0.62%-39.51
Nasdaq Composite21,314.95-1.46%-311.20
Dow Jones44,911.82-0.08%-35.93
Russell 20002,297.61+0.48%+11.03

International Indices

IndexCloseChange (%)Change (pts)
FTSE 1009,288.14+1.08%+100.31
DAX (Germany)24,276.97-0.60%-145.66
Nikkei 22542,888.55-1.51%-647.62

Forex Markets

PairPriceChange (%)Change (abs)
EUR/USD1.1656+0.12%+0.0014
GBP/USD1.3454-0.27%-0.0036
USD/JPY147.22-0.30%-0.4417
EUR/GBP0.8664+0.37%+0.0032
USD/CHF0.8039-0.48%-0.0039
USD/CAD1.3866+0.01%+0.0001
AUD/USD0.6432-0.34%-0.0022

Commodities

CommodityPrice (USD)Change (%)Change (abs)
Gold (per oz)3,342.000.0%0.00
Silver (per oz)38.000.0%0.00
WTI Crude (bbl)63.210.0%0.00
Brent Crude (bbl)67.040.0%0.00


🏆 Top Performers & Laggards

CategoryBest PerformerChange (%)Worst PerformerChange (%)
US IndicesRussell 2000+0.48%Nasdaq Composite-1.46%
Intl IndicesFTSE 100+1.08%Nikkei 225-1.51%
ForexEUR/GBP+0.37%USD/CHF-0.48%


📊 Market Visual Dashboard

Figure: Market performance heatmap – indices, forex, and commodities.


💡 Expert Commentary

  • Stocks:
    US indices closed lower, led by tech weakness (Nasdaq -1.46%), while small caps (Russell 2000) outperformed. European markets diverged, with the FTSE 100 hitting a new high and DAX lagging.
  • Forex:
    The euro and pound gained modestly against the dollar, while the yen strengthened on risk aversion.
  • Commodities:
    Gold and oil prices held steady at elevated levels, reflecting ongoing geopolitical and inflation concerns.

📅 Economic Calendar Recap

  • US PPI (July): +3.3% YoY (above forecast)
  • US CPI (July): +2.7% YoY (in line)
  • US Retail Sales (July): +0.5% MoM
  • Jackson Hole Symposium: Begins tomorrow

Key Takeaway:
Markets remain cautious ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium, with inflation and Fed policy in sharp focus. Defensive assets like gold and oil are holding up, while tech stocks face renewed pressure.

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