🌅 Morning Markets Briefing – August 20, 2025

Key Takeaway:
Global markets are under pressure this morning, with Asian and European indices mostly lower following a tech-led sell-off and heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Oil and gold are up on safe-haven flows, while US futures point to a cautious open. Key economic data and central bank events are in focus.


📰 Overnight Headlines & Economic Indicators

  • Middle East Escalation:
    Israel’s strikes on Iran’s nuclear program and Iran’s missile response have rattled global markets, driving oil up nearly 9% overnight and boosting gold as a safe haven .
  • Tech Sector Weakness:
    Asian markets fell sharply after US chipmaker restrictions and a sell-off in tech stocks. Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped 1.5%, and Taiwan’s Taiex lost 2.4% .
  • Fed Rate Cut Bets:
    Softer US inflation data (CPI, PPI) has increased expectations for a Fed rate cut as soon as September, with bond yields at three-month lows .
  • European Political Uncertainty:
    French political turmoil and a snap election are weighing on the euro and European equities .
  • Commodities:
    Oil and gold prices are higher on geopolitical risk. WTI crude is up 0.7% to $62.80, and gold is near $3,327/oz .
  • Economic Calendar Today:
    • US Import/Export Price Indexes (08:30 ET)
    • University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment
    • UK July CPI (released: 3.8% YoY, above expectations) 
    • FOMC minutes publication later today

📈 Market Overview

CategoryAssetPrice24h Change (%)Status
US FuturesDow Jones Futures44,909.00-0.26%🔴 Down
S&P 500 Futures6,419.75-0.24%🔴 Down
Nasdaq 100 Futures23,400.25-0.31%🔴 Down
EuropeDAX (Germany)24,247.00-0.72%🔴 Down
FTSE 100 (UK)9,173.91-0.17%🔴 Down
CAC 40 (France)7,937.95-0.52%🔴 Down
Euro Stoxx 505,453.79-0.54%🔴 Down
FTSE MIB (Italy)42,855.94-0.38%🔴 Down
AsiaNikkei 225 (Japan)42,888.55-1.51%🔴 Down
Hang Seng (HK)25,205.01+0.33%🟢 Up
KOSPI (S. Korea)3,151.56-0.81%🔴 Down
SENSEX (India)81,644.39+0.46%🟢 Up
Shanghai Comp.3,727.29-0.02%🔴 Down
ForexEUR/USD1.1644+0.00%⚪ Flat
USD/JPY147.36-0.15%🔴 Down
GBP/USD1.3502+0.09%🟢 Up
AUD/USD0.6443-0.16%🔴 Down
USD/CAD1.3870+0.03%🟢 Up
USD/CHF0.8081+0.16%🟢 Up
NZD/USD0.5827-1.06%🔴 Down
CommoditiesWTI Crude Oil$62.80+0.72%🟢 Up
Brent Crude Oil$66.33+0.82%🟢 Up
Gold Spot$3,327.44+0.35%🟢 Up
Silver$37.64-0.48%🔴 Down
Platinum$1,322.77+0.60%🟢 Up
Natural Gas$2.75-0.43%🔴 Down

🏆 Top Performers & Laggards

Top 5 Gainers24h Change (%)Category
Coffee+4.05%Agriculture
Brent Crude Oil+0.82%Energy
Heating Oil+0.74%Energy
WTI Crude Oil+0.72%Energy
Platinum+0.60%Precious Metals
———————–—————:——————
Nikkei 225 (Japan)-1.51%Asian Indices
NZD/USD-1.06%Forex
Zinc-0.99%Industrial Metals
KOSPI (S. Korea)-0.81%Asian Indices
Aluminium-0.78%Industrial Metals

📊 Sector Performance

SectorAvg Change (%)Best AssetWorst Asset
Agriculture+1.01%CoffeeWheat
Energy+0.49%Brent Crude OilNatural Gas
Precious Metals+0.16%PlatinumSilver
Forex-0.16%USD/CHFNZD/USD
US Futures-0.27%Dow Jones FuturesNasdaq 100 Futures
Asian Indices-0.31%SENSEX (India)Nikkei 225 (Japan)
Industrial Metals-0.34%CopperZinc
European Indices-0.47%FTSE 100 (UK)DAX (Germany)

📉 Visual Market Dashboard

Figure: Morning market dashboard – top gainers/losers, sector performance, and sentiment.


💡 Expert Commentary

  • Geopolitics:
    The Israel-Iran conflict is the dominant risk, driving oil and gold higher and weighing on equities globally.
  • Tech & Asia:
    Asian indices are under pressure from US chip restrictions and tech sector weakness.
  • Europe:
    Political uncertainty in France and the UK’s higher-than-expected inflation are adding to market caution.
  • Commodities:
    Energy and precious metals are benefiting from safe-haven flows, while industrial metals and some agricultural commodities lag.

📅 Economic Calendar & US Market Preview

  • US Import/Export Price Indexes (08:30 ET)
  • University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment
  • FOMC Minutes (later today)
  • Jackson Hole Symposium (tomorrow)
  • US Markets Open at 14:30 Local Time – Futures point to a lower open.

Key Takeaway:
Markets are risk-off this morning, with geopolitical tensions and central bank expectations in focus. Watch for volatility around US data releases and Fed commentary.

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